Arctic Sea Ice Prediction v Actual 2017

With record melting likely this year here are www.weathergossip.blogspot.com predictions for the Arctic for the year 2017.
Updated July 26 2017

		ARCTIC SEA ICE PREDICTION
2017			predict	actual
31	MAR		13.3	13.5
30	APR		12.1
31	MAY		10.2
30	JUN		8.6
31	JULY		6.2	6.44
31	AUG		4	6.04
30	SEPT		4.3
31	OCT		6
30	NOV		7.5
31	DEC		8.9

Arctic Hits Record Low Average for March

The Arctic has seen record low amounts of Sea Ice for the Month of March with the sea ice over 1 million square kilometres lower than it should be. Also of note is that a record was reached in the South of Argentina South Americas coldest place with the highest daily maximum of 17.5c reached in an area that remains subzero most of the year.

Our latest predictions still put the Arctic Sea Ice minima at 4 million square kilometres next September but what will really determine matters is the rate of melt over the next few downward weeks.

Arctic Sea Ice Continues downward trend

The Arctic Sea Ice is continuing to show a downward trend but this looks set to stop after midweek as High Pressure moves up North over Scandanavia and a Negative Arctic Oscillation is in place leading to Ice growth. It may not be the Max Min ever but it will be close.

As for predictions I am inviting everyone to submit their Arctic Sea Ice predictions to me at 

weathergossip1@gmail.com 

Arctic Sea Ice Set for Minimum Maximum

With only 3 months of Arctic Sea Ice thickening left we are at the make or ice-break stage.

Currently sea ice is 14.4million square km as of March 5th 2015.

Lowest max was 14.61 square km in 2011.

One thing to note is that if Max stays low the Min in September will be below our estimate of 4 million square km for sure.

Difference from this and other years is that the new ice in the Arctic is thinner than ever before. This is leading to quicker melt and loosening of Ice which generally drifts South since North is blocked. 

Welcome to the Arctic Sea Ice Predictions!

Arctic Sea Ice shapes the weather over the Northern Hemisphere on earth so it is very important for weatherwatchers worldwide to keep an eye on it. This year things have started to go downhill as a matter of course. The presence of High Pressure at mid latitudes leads to a positive arctic oscillation which means that Ice in the Arctic is moved Southwards by Low Pressure systems and the Ice thickness dramatically reduces.

As of March 1st the sea ice extent was the 2nd lowest on record and with a positive oscillation forecast for the coming week it could yet go lowest.

Presently there is nearly is complete Ice coverage over the Sea at the North Pole but Ice is thinner than normal due to a high amount of Southerly winds and temperatures of 3 to 4c above average.

The latest prediction for September 21st which is around the day of minimum sea ice is 4 million. This is lower than average but not the lowest ever. This blog is consistently going to be updated to take account of changes in the Arctic and Arctic Sea Ice so add it to your feeds.

For more on weather go to http://weathergossip.com